Losing Interest, 02/09/22

 Last night I went 7 for 8 including 5 straight up winners and a just screwing around 5 team parlay.

I also had Ottawa a plus 220 dog and Vancouver on the puck line.

It seems, I can't give money away- so I am going to quit writing here. I only get a couple of hits a day anyway.

So a couple more for the road. 

The Chicago Bulls v Charlotte. Lay the 2 points, Charlotte has injuries.

Same with the Raptors at the Thunder. OKC's top player is out, Toronto is all healthy and rested, covering six times in a row in blowout fashion. I am laying all 10. May take the over (204) as well.

Vancouver on a back to back at home. Gritty team. Think they are better than the Islanders and you get plus money to play them on home ice.

Anyway, thanks for swinging by, those of you who did. 

Brian

Sports Picks for Feb. 2, 2022

 I'm happy to see hockey go into the all-star break. 

I am all NBA today.

Laying the -3.5 at the Knicks. Grizzlies keep rolling here.

Cavs -6 at Houston. Cavs play Houston tough and always seem to cover.

Nuggets at Denver, -1. With all of their best players out, the Jazz find themselves in tough shape. Taking the Nugs -1.

Nets should dispose of the Kings rather easily even after their two tough losses- one last night.

Nets -4.

Best of luck! 

Sports Picks for Feb.1, 2022

NBA

Golden State at San Antonio

I looked at the previous meeting between these two teams. Not only did San Antonio out shoot GS- they did so on both sides of the arc. Bear in mind that GS has the number #1 ranked defense.

Still at -2...this is a bit of a head scratcher. Revenge minded GS. Not betting the farm but certainly can't take the Spurs.

Denver +4.5 at Minnesota

Denver has beaten Minnesota 9 out of 10 times. The last time these teams met, Minnesota got the best of it. However, Denver has won 5 in a row, 4 on the road, and just kicked Milwaukee's ass pretty badly. I am going with the hot hand here, +4.5, maybe grab the money line at + 170 if I can get it.

NHL

Winnipeg -145 at the Flyers. The Flyers finally won a game after 13 losses. I am going to bet they can't get two in a row.

Ottawa at the Islanders. Two teams that can't score. Under 5.5.

Vancouver at Nashville. I'm going to try Vancouver again in a tough spot, +155 seems a little too juicy.

Calgary at Dallas. Dallas has owned Calgary for years. Dallas is my schizo team but I'm going to stab again.

Buffalo at Vegas. Buffalo isn't very good but I have noticed a few cracks in the Vegas squad. Vegas beats teams by one. I am going to play Buffalo on the puck line +1.5 for +135.

Best of luck!

Summary

Took a beating. Went 2-5, the exact opposite of yesterday. Dallas Stars once again found a way to lose. Up 3-1 when the 3rd period started, they gave up 3 goals in a row. I should never bet the Stars. They are the team that fails me nearly every time. Buffalo took a beating from the start. Winnipeg, plumbing ever deeper depths, found a way to lose to Philadelphia.

Sports Plays for Jan., 31, 2022

 Let's get right to it.

New Orleans +7.5 at Cleveage.

When I first saw this, I was looking for a Cleveland edge. What I found was that New Orleans has beaten Cleavage 7 times in a row outright. It's odd when crappy teams line up well against good teams.

Gonna stab New Orleans here +7.5. Might even try a little m/l if it's juicy enough.

Kings v Knicks

Knicks healthy, I couldn't bet on the Kings if I wanted to.

Knickerbockers. Lay the -6.5.

Golden State v Houston +10.5

I will probably lay the 10.5 on the road at Houston. GS has beaten them 5 times in a row. Won 4 times ATS. With Clay back, I think they are better. Never know when Curry takes a day off. Keep an eye on that at gametime. 

Toronto v Atlanta -2

Atlanta puts their big win streak to the test once again. Atlanta has beaten them three in a row which dates back to last year. Nothing really recent. Has Toronto jumped up and beat me this year?  Yes, but they are just off the triple overtime win at the Heat on Saturday.  

Clippers getting +2.5 at Indiana

I think the better team is the Clips. I am gonna stab this so long as I get +135 or so.

NHL

Vancouver +105 at Chicago. The NHL's hard luck story of the year is Vancouver. Coaching changes, sick and injured personnel- Vancouver is good, getting better, and desperate. Demko has been great between the pipes. Vancouver has not had an easy game all month. It's been murderer's row. I think they get a win tonight. I might play the under as well as long as it remains -120 or better.

Best of luck

Summary

I went 5-2 tonight. I lost the Cilppers on the m/l and Toronto ended Atlanta's run.

But the Knicks covered easy, so did Golden State and New Orleans.

My favorite cover of the day was Vancouver and the under. They finally got a team they could  beat.

 

Sports Picks for Jan., 30, 2022

 NFL

I took both favorites today. I should also note that KC was beaten by Cincy in the regular season. The same is true for LA. San Francisco has beaten them 6 times in a row.

Cincy is getting 7 points and San Francisco is getting 4, more or less.

Thus both favorites have already been beaten by their opponents. But this is the AFC and NFC championship. Home teams rarely lose these games.

From a betting standpoint- there is no edge here. I wouldn't even bet these games if it were not a 40 year tradition of mine.

Many years ago in Las Vegas, I was playing poker at the Rio during one of the AFC-NFC title games. Next to me was a man who was clearly distracted- so much so that he was holding up the game. Finally, in a huff, I asked him if had something bet on the game that was preventing him from playing cards. He reached into his shirt pocket, pulled out two betting slips, and handed them to me. He had bet each game for 55,000. I handed the slips back. Not one word was spoken by either of us. He won both games.

NHL

The Wild are just killing it. Play on the Wild about -135 favorites at the Islanders.

NBA

I have two injury plays.

The Timberwolves are finally home. Utah is still missing the two headed hydra of Gobert and Mitchell. This seems like a no brainer and is probably my favorite play. Take Minnesota -1.

The other is Phoenix. The Suns are at home playing the Spurs and giving a lot of points. They are -13.5 favorites which seems terribly high except that San Antonio's best players are all out with injuries. So this becomes a "how good is your bench?" 

I don't know. But I do know that SA ain't that good to begin with- and if all of their starters were playing- they'd still be 8-10 point dogs. Can I give an extra 4? Yes.

Best of luck.

Summary

Went 2-3 today. KC 21-3 at the half, never scored another point until it was too late, and lost.

LA played like predictable little girls and eked out a win.

Well, at least we know the SA bench ain't all bad. 

Sports Picks for Jan., 29, 2022

 I hate making a bet- on what I think will be a competitive game- only to get my ass kicked. 

That happened last night in the Capitals-Stars game. The Stars looked great until they dropped the first puck. Getting your ass kicked on home ice has to be embarrassing. Teams generally bounce back from those things and administer an ass kicking of their own next time out.

I don't like a lot today. 

NBA

Memphis -5.5.

New Orleans +190 M/L (Boston hasn't exactly been world beaters, not the worst spot to take a 2 for 1 shot)

NHL

Toronto -1.5 (+105)

Vancouver +165

(Do you remember when I told you Calgary beats the hell out of US teams and finds a way to lose to Canadian ones)

I want to show you an absolute piece of garbage I clipped from a betting service. This is a quote on the Boston v Pelican game. It is nonsense. Boston has lost 3 out of 5 games beating two horrible teams. I hope this is not the kind of shit people are reading and betting on. I believe the author cut and pasted this from some other point in time- because they are actually too lazy to do any work or write. This is on a place I frequent called "sports chat place"

Both teams on the end of a back to back, the home team should usually have the edge here. However, the New Orleans Pelicans are struggling against good teams and Ingram is still banged up. The Boston Celtics are playing some of their best ball of the season, and that includes winning their last five games by an average of 10.6 points. The Celtics are starting to string something together. I’ll lay the reasonable chalk.

Summary

I had a split day, winning two and losing two. Toronto scored 5 goals in the third period to cover the puck line. Vancouver took Calgary all the way to over time but lost. The Grizzlies just keep rolling along.

Sports Picks for Jan. 28, 2022

 Glad I took yesterday off. But I watched everything on some sort of streaming device.

Last night I witnessed something you rarely see. Golden State shot better from beyond the three point arc than they did inside of it. They beat it by a full 2%- scoring 63 points from 3 point land. It was quite a display.

The Timberwolves played very well also- nailing a lot of 3s. All in all they put up 239 points. All of which leads me to todays plays.

Minnesota is at Phoenix today. Phoenix is banged up but can actually play defense. They set the over in this game at 230. That is 9 points less than last nights 3 point fest.

Give me the under.

Grizzlies are home tonight v the Jazz. The two headed hydra that is the Jazz- Gobert and Mitchell- are out. I'm going to lay the 4. This would have been a great game with those two in- as it stands now- I think it makes for a good bet.

Memphis -4

I don't like Boston. I don't even enjoy watching them walk down the court every possession. In the 4th quarter, often while getting their asses kicked, they decide to play with a sense of urgency. Tonight they are at Atlanta. Atlanta has been super hot and they have whipped good teams, Miami, Minn., Mil., and Charlotte. I hate betting against Young. Kid's a sharpshooter. I think he'll show up in a big way.

Atlanta -1 or 2

I like the hockey card tonight but I like all the favorites. I look for dogs in hockey but I can't even get excited about a +120 Rangers team playing the Wild. Eating too much chalk with the Pens (thank gawd I didn't play on them -300 or something v the Kraken) so I landed here.

Colorado -190 or so v the Blackhawks. Betting against the Avs right now is a quick way to bankruptcy.

Colorado

Capitals at Dallas

What is going on with the Caps? Losers of 7 outta 10? Stars are starting to shine. Can't play the Caps right now.

Dallas -125 or so.

Best of luck!!

Went 3 wins, 2 losses. Dallas Stars were horrible, Phoenix/Minn scored 140 points in the first half alone- under was gone early.

Avs were good at -195 and the puck line +125, so I churned a small profit.