Sports Bets for Jan. 23, 2022

 Well after perfectly nailing both road dogs yesterday- I think things get a little more difficult today in the NFL.

In the first game the Rams are on the road at Tampa Bay. On paper, TB has a better offense and defense. They have the greatest QB of all time. They have a healthy running game. Passing game is a match.

I see this more like a 4-7 point game. My sportsbook, forever screwing it's customers at every turn, hung -3 on this game while everyone else had it -2.5.

This time I landed on the home favorite, Tampa Bay.

The second tilt, arguably the best game of the weekend, has Buffalo at Kansas City. Although better on paper, Buffalo will be up against an improving Kansas City. 

KC has a lot of weapons and a better passing attack. Year after year, Travis Kelce just seems to get better. I probably should have stayed away from this game. Talk about a coinflip- but something tells me Buffalo is driven. KC beat their ass in the playoffs last year by 14. Today, a wiser, angrier, Buffalo shows up.

So I landed on Buffalo. I took the +110 money line because the spread was less than 3.0.

NBA

I love the way Charlotte has been playing. I'm going to lay the -3.

I also like the Bulls. Orlando has won 2 games out of 17 at home. Bulls are no road warriors but against Orlando- I have to lay the -3.

Tonights rematch Grizzlies v Dallas Mavericks is my game of the day. Grizzlies suffered a complete meltdown in the 2nd half v Dallas last week. It was so bad, with 2 minutes to go in the 4th quarter, all the Grizzlies could manage was 6 points! 

So a revenge minded Memphis team shows up. I'll be watching, not betting.

NHL

I absolutely laughed when I saw the spread LA Kings -130 v NJ Devils. The Devils lost to the worst team in the league, the Coyotes. The next outing they beat arguably the best team in the league, the Carolina Hurricanes.

If you make a habit out of betting schizophrenic teams like that, and can win, I want to be friends with you. One of the touts picked NJ. Not this tout. Stay away. No value here in either side.

So I am going to try and a little two teamer. Tittsburgh on the puck line at home and the healthy Blues at the unhealthy Canucks.

Best of Luck!   

Summary

Pretty lousy day. Lost both football games.

In NBA action I didn't bet Chicago because the sportsbook guy told me that their star player suffered a broken wrist and would be out for several weeks. So I dodged that bullet, bet the Heat instead and hit that.

Charlotte was a tremendous disaster. I have never seen a professional basketball team go 0-19 in three pointers against a team with little or no defense at home. I am still scratching my head over that terrible game.

Tittsburgh won but didn't cover the puckline. So I lost that.

I did manage to hit the St Louis Blue game.

Took Monday off for a medical procedure. My only wager is on the Minnesota Wild 

over 6.5 goals.

Sports Picks for Jan. 19, 2022

 

NBA

Memphis + 6.5- Memphis back on track after complete 2nd half meltdown v Dallas, may stab a little on money line at +220

Miami Over 216

Dallas -4

Charlotte Over 221

NHL 

NY Rangers +140 (healthy) 

Colorado -1.5 (7th in a row v Anaheim?)

Final Tally

Memphis, Miami over, and Charlotte over all lost. Those bets were all -110.

The sportsbook had Dallas at -3.5 (-110) which won. 

The Rangers covered easily, 6-3 at +140.

Colorado covered the puck line, 2-0 at even money.

We eked out a small profit of 25 bucks based on 50 dollar bets.

An Introduction

 I have two passions in life. Writing and sports gambling. Those two things consume a fair amount of my time each day.

I don't bet all sports. I'd rather watch paint dry than bet soccer. I dabble in college basketball but I prefer not to bet that sport until the NCAA tournament begins in March.

I confine my betting to NCAA and NFL football, NBA basketball, NHL hockey, and MLB baseball. 

I won't post the amounts that I bet for various reasons. Most of the time, I make flat bets. I bet singles and parlays up to five teams, round robin parlays also.

I can make anywhere from 0-15 bets a day. I never know how many until I am through working on them.

I don't bet every day. There will be days when I just pass.

I spend 2 or 3 hours a day finding plays I like. Things that I can make money on. I am not interested in solely playing favorites and eating a ton of chalk. I look for money line dogs or teams getting points- teams that give me a mathematical edge. Favorites generally don't do that. 

I look for favorable matchups with an edge. Back up goalies in hockey cause me to lean on the "over" or the side. 

My goal is simple. Make more money than I lose. I look for streaks and angles. I've been doing this for 40 years.

I am not going to post a giant analysis for each play. I don't have the time. I have deadlines and I will generally be out the door. These are free picks.

But I promise I will post my best plays here. I am not going to tell you what to bet, how to bet it, or how much. You must do your own due diligence, never bet what you can't freely lose, and eat shit like the rest of us when the Warriors give Steph Curry a day off and announce it sometime after we've made our bets.

I will update my picks with the results. Best of luck!